Educational information, not individual financial advice.
Key Takeaways
The U.S. federal income tax is a progressive system: higher slices of your income are taxed at higher rates. This simple idea is widely misunderstood — many people believe that a small raise can push them into a higher bracket and leave them worse off. That is mathematically impossible under a marginal-rate system.
Your income is divided into slices. Each slice is taxed at a specific rate. Moving up a bracket only affects the income above the threshold, not everything you earn.
For a single filer in 2026, the brackets look like this (approximate based on IRS updates):
| Bracket | Taxed at | Applies to income (single) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10% | $0 – $12,400 |
| 2 | 12% | $12,400 – $50,400 |
| 3 | 22% | $50,400 – $105,700 |
| 4 | 24% | $105,700 – $201,775 |
| 5 | 32% | $201,775 – $256,225 |
| 6 | 35% | $256,225 – $640,600 |
| 7 | 37% | $640,600+ |
Married filing jointly has roughly double-wide brackets. Other filing statuses have their own tables.
A single filer with $100,000 of taxable income (after deductions):
That's an effective rate of 16.7%, even though this taxpayer is "in the 22% bracket." Their marginal rate — what the next dollar earned would pay — is 22%.
Your federal tax is calculated roughly as:
AGI matters separately from taxable income — many tax benefits (Roth IRA eligibility, Medicare premium surcharges, ACA subsidies) are based on AGI or MAGI (modified AGI).
Deductions reduce the income that gets taxed. A $1,000 deduction saves you $1,000 × your marginal rate. For someone in the 24% bracket, a $1,000 deduction saves $240 in tax.
Credits directly reduce the tax you owe. A $1,000 credit saves you $1,000 flat, regardless of bracket.
Credits are worth more per dollar than deductions. A few are "refundable" — they can reduce your tax below zero and generate a refund, like the earned income tax credit.
Above-the-line (reduce AGI, available whether or not you itemize):
Standard vs itemized — you pick one:
Your total tax burden includes:
A high-income Californian might pay 37% federal + 13% state + 3% FICA Medicare = 53% marginal rate on earned income, before considering phase-outs and surcharges.
Income-linked expenses in Horizons represent tax liabilities tied to your income level. As income rises or falls, the tax expense adjusts proportionally. The engine handles marginal-bracket math when you enter a combined effective rate, and uses the same logic to compute gross-ups for retirement withdrawals.
In a progressive tax system, what does your 'marginal' tax rate tell you?
Known limitations
Sources
Educational information distilled from the Horizons engine methodology — not individual financial advice.
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